Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Data Reports Send Dow Up For 5th Straight Session

U.S. stocks pushed higher Wednesday, with the Dow rising for the fifth straight trading session to close at a new record high after a string of upbeat economic reports.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2% to close at 16,097.2. The S&P 500 index tacked on 0.3% to close at 1,807.2.

And the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.7% to end at 4,044.75.

Technology stocks performed well on Wednesday. Former Dow component Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) rallied after a better-than-expected earnings report. International Business Machines (IBM) led gainers in the Dow industrials.

Still, it was a string of economic reports that sent the indicies higher, including better-than-expecetd data on jobless claims, manufacturing in the Midwest and consumer confidence.

U.S. stock markets will remain closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday, and close early — 1 p.m. EST – on Friday.

Earlier today, October orders for durable goods fell by 2%.

Consumer confidence was stronger than expected in November. The final reading of the Thomson-Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for the month was revised up to 75.1, above the projected 73.5. The Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators rose 0.2%, while it was expected to remain unchanged.

The ISM's Chicago-area purchasing managers’ index slipped to 63.0 in November, while a decline to 60.0 was expected. Earlier, the Department of Labor reported there were 316,000 initial claims for unemployment benefits in the latest week, fewer than the 330,000 expected.

Looking ahead, investors are focused on the December meeting of the Federal Reserve. The central bank has said it could start to pare back those policies in coming months, but that the decision will depend on economic data.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.739% from 2.696% late Tuesday.

Crude-oil futures fell after a government survey showed domestic supplies rose for a 10th straight week, dragging down major oil companies including Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX) and Noble Energy (NBL).

Meanwhile, gold futures fell, while the dollar edged lower against the euro and rose against the yen.

In other corporate news, Time Warner Cable (TWC) edged higher after The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday that Cox Communications is considering jumping into the bidding for the second-largest cable operator.

Charter Communications (CHTR) and Comcast (CMCSA) are each also contemplating bids. The WSJ reported late today that Charter is arranging $25 billionin debt to fund its bid.

Shares of Charter and Comcast fell 0.9% and 0.3% respectively.

A federal judge cleared the way for AMR (AAMRQ) to exit bankruptcy, clearing the way for a merger between American Airlines (owned by AMR) and U.S. Airways Group (LCC). AMR and U.S. Airlines rose 2.7% and 0.6% respectively.

Top 10 Safest Companies To Buy Right Now

CVS Caremark (CVS) rose 1% to $66.77 after it said it would buy medical provider Coram LLC to continue its push into the specialty-drug market.

Tesla Motors (TSLA) rose 5.3% to $126.94 after analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Deutsche Bank posted opposing notes.

Crocs (CROX) rose 2.2% to $15.84 after Bloomberg reported the firm may be seeing an investment from private equity firms.

Monday, December 30, 2013

5 Stocks Spiking on Unusual Volume

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Professional traders running mutual funds and hedge funds don't just look at a stock's price moves; they also track big changes in volume activity. Often when above-average volume moves into an equity, it precedes a large spike in volatility.

>>5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying

Major moves in volume can signal unusual activity, such as insider buying or selling -- or buying or selling by "superinvestors."

Unusual volume can also be a major signal that hedge funds and momentum traders are piling into a stock ahead of a catalyst. These types of traders like to get in well before a large spike, so it's always a smart move to monitor unusual volume. That said, remember to combine trend and price action with unusual volume. Put them all together to help you decipher the next big trend for any stock.

>>5 Rocket Stocks to Buy This Week

With that in mind, let's take a look at several stocks rising on unusual volume today.

Crocs

Crocs (CROX) is engaged in the design, development, manufacturing, marketing and distribution of consumer products, mainly casual and athletic shoes and shoe charms, from specialty resins referred to as Croslite. This stock closed up 9.7% to $13.89 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 12.85 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.31 million

Volume % Change: 857%

>>5 Stocks Set to Soar on Bullish Earnings

From a technical perspective, CROX exploded higher here back above its 50-day moving average of $13.34 with monster upside volume. This move briefly pushed shares of CROX into breakout territory, since the stock flirted with some near-term overhead resistance levels at $13.94 to $14.45. Shares of CROX closed just below those breakout levels at $13.89. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher in the short-term if CROX can manage to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $14.53 and its 200-day moving average at $14.99 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in CROX as long as it's trending above its 50-day at $13.34 or above Wednesday's low of $12.60 and then once it sustains a move or close above $14.53 to $14.99 with volume that hits near or above 1.31 million shares. If we get that move soon, then CROX will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone from July that started near $17.50.

GenMark Diagnostics

GenMark Diagnostics (GNMK), a molecular diagnostics company, develops and commercializes its proprietary eSensor detection technology. This stock closed up 5.7% to $12.70 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 970,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 335,302

Volume % Change: 332%

>>5 Stocks Poised for Breakouts

From a technical perspective, GNMK ripped sharply higher here back above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages with strong upside volume. This move briefly pushed shares of GNMK into breakout territory, since the stock flirted with some key overhead resistance at $12.84. Shares of GNMK closed just below that breakout level at $12.70. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher for GNMK into the short-term if the stock can manage to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $12.98 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in GNMK as long as it's trending above its 200-day at $12.02 or above Wednesday's low of $11.40 and then once it sustains a move or close above Wednesday's high of $12.98 with volume that hits near or above 335,302 shares. If we get that move soon, then GNMK will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $16.

Pharmacyclics

Pharmacyclics (PCYC) is focused on developing and commercializing innovative small-molecule drugs for the treatment of cancer and immune mediated diseases. This stock closed up 3.4% at $123.82 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 3.08 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 743,305

Volume % Change: 335%

From a technical perspective, PCYC spiked higher here right off some near-term support at $115 with strong upside volume. This move briefly pushed shares of PCYC back above its 50-day moving average of $124.61, before the stock finished the day just below that level at $123.82. Market players should now look for a continuation move higher in the short-term if PCYC can manage to take out Wednesday's intraday high of $129.45 to more resistance at $130 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in PCYC as long as it's trending above $120 or above Wednesday's low of $115 and then once it sustains a move or close above $129.45 to $130 with volume that hits near or above 743,305 shares. If we get that move soon, then PCYC will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $136 to its 52-week high at $143.34. Any high-volume moves above its 52-week high will then give PCYC a chance to tag $150.

EnerSys

EnerSys (ENS) manufactures, markets and distributes industrial batteries and related products such as chargers, power equipment and battery accessories. This stock closed up 1.3% to $68.58 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 874,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 274,742

Volume % Change: 251%

From a technical perspective, ENS ripped higher here right above some near-term support at $66 to $64.50 with strong upside volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last six months, with shares moving higher from it low of $47.05 to its recent high of $69.32. During that uptrend, shares of ENS have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of ENS within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if ENS manages to take out Wednesday's high of $68.81 to its 52-week high at $69.32 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ENS as long as it's trending above Wednesday's low of $67.11 or above more support at $64.50 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 274,742 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then ENS will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are $75 to $80.

Insys Therapeutics

Insys Therapeutics (INSY) is a specialty pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes supportive care products that target the unmet needs of cancer patients, with an initial focus on cancer-supportive care. This stock closed up 8.4% at $44.31 in Wednesday's trading session.

Wednesday's Volume: 640,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 262,182

Volume % Change: 144%

From a technical perspective, INSY spiked sharply higher here right above its 50-day moving average of $38.88 with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of INSY within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if INSY manages to take out Wednesday's high of $45.57 to more near-term overhead resistance at $48 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in INSY as long as it's trending above Wednesday's low of $41.11 or above its 50-day at $38.88 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that's near or above 262,182 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then INSY will set up to re-test or possibly take out its all-time high at $53.64. Any high-volume move above that level will then give INSY a chance to tag $55 to $60.

To see more stocks rising on unusual volume, check out the Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>4 Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher



>>5 Tech Stocks to Trade in November



>>2 Biotech Stocks Under $10 Triggering Breakouts

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Sunday, December 29, 2013

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014

With the�SPDR S&P Biotech Index�up 35% over the trailing-12-month period, it's evident that investment dollars are willingly flowing into the biotech sector. Keeping that in mind, let's have a look at some of the rulings, studies, and companies that made waves in the sector last week.

There weren't many well-known names making big moves this week, but we were privy to a good variety of stories including FDA designations and new drug filings, plenty of analyst action, and a late-week, rally-killing share offering.

The best-known, and potentially most exciting, story of the week was the Food and Drug Administration's classification of Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE  ) Palbociclib as a "breakthrough therapy." Palbociclib is an oral treatment for ER+, HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer that, in trials, when combined with Novartis'�Femara, crushed the control arm made up of Femara alone in terms of progression-free survival (26.1 months versus 7.5 months). Those amazing results earned Palbociclib this extremely rare designation from the FDA, which should help expedite its development and hopeful approval of the drug.�

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Oncolytics Biotech Inc (ONCY)

Oncolytics Biotech Inc. (Oncolytics), incorporated on April 2, 1998, is a development-stage company. The Company is focused on its research and development of REOLYSIN, which is its cancer therapeutic. REOLYSIN is developed from the reovirus. This virus has been demonstrated in tumour cells bearing an activated Ras pathway. Oncolytics is directing a clinical trial program with the focus of developing REOLYSIN as a human cancer therapeutic. The clinical program includes clinical trials, which it sponsors directly along with Third Party Clinical Trials. Third Party Clinical Trials are clinical trials that are being sponsored by other institutions. As of December 31, 2011, the United States National Cancer Institute (NCI), the University of Leeds and the Cancer Therapy & Research Center at the University of Texas Health Center in San Antonio (CTRC) were sponsoring part of its clinical trial program.

The Company�� clinical trial program has included human trials using REOLYSIN alone, and in combination with radiation and chemotherapy, and delivered via local administration and/or intravenous administration. Oncolytics uses contract toll manufacturers to produce REOLYSIN. On December 31, 2011, the Company had two wholly owned subsidiaries, Oncolytics Biotech (Barbados) Inc. (OBB) and Valens Pharma Ltd. Oncolytics Biotech (US) Inc. and Oncolytics Biotech (U.K.) are wholly owned subsidiaries of OBB.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By John Udovich]

    The biotech sector along with small cap biotech stocks Cardiome Pharma Corp (NASDAQ: CRME), Oncolytics Biotech, Inc (NASDAQ: ONCY), Vital Therapies Inc (NASDAQ: VTL) and TNI BioTech (OTCMKTS: TNIB) have all been producing their share of news this week for investors and traders alike to trade on. Moreover and while some 42 ��ife sciences��companies have gone public raising about $3 billion from investors so far this year, there are a growing number of biotechs pulling the plug on upcoming IPOs who are citing market conditions. With that in mind, here is a look at important news from the biotech sector and small cap biotech stocks this week:

  • [By Maxx Chatsko]

    T-VEC is not your traditional biologic drug. It is actually a bioengineered form of the herpes virus that, once injected into cancerous tumors, replicates, and produces an immune-stimulating protein that puts a bulls eye on cancer cells throughout the body. Despite its promise and intriguing mechanism of action, T-VEC is not in further development at Amgen. However, Oncolytics (NASDAQ: ONCY  ) has shown promising results for its bioengineered form of reovirus called Reolysin. Initial phase 3 results showed that 86% of patients taking the drug had reduced tumor mass or growth after six weeks of treatment. �

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Soligenix Inc (SNGX)

Soligenix, Inc., incorporated on January 16, 1987, is a development-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on developing products to treat the side effects of cancer treatment and gastrointestinal diseases, as well as developing several biodefense vaccines and therapeutics. The Company operates in two business segments: BioTherapeutics and BioDefense. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� products, which were under development, include orBec, SGX201, SGX203, LPM Leuprolide, ThermoVax, RiVax and SGX202. On September 15, 2011 the Company's Phase III clinical trial for orBec in the treatment of gastrointestinal Graft-versus-Host disease (GI GVHD). In addition, the Company is developing oral BDP in other therapeutic indications, such as pediatric Crohn's disease and radiation enteritis.

BioTherapeutics Overview

The Company's BioTherapeutics business segment focuses to develop orBec (oral beclomethasone dipropionate( oral BDP)) and other biotherapeutic products, while the Company's collaboration partner, Sigma-Tau Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Sigma-Tau) will commercialize orBec and oral BDP in North America and Europe, if approved. orBec represents a first-of-its-kind oral, locally acting therapy tailored to treat the gastrointestinal manifestation of Graft-versus-Host disease (GVHD). orBec is formulated for oral administration as a single product consist of two tablets. SGX201 is a delayed-release formulation of beclomethasone dipropionate (BDP) specifically designed for oral use. SGX203 is a two pill delivery system of a delayed release formulation of BDP specifically designed for oral use that allows for delivery of immediate and delayed release BDP throughout the small bowel and the colon. The Company's Lipid Polymer Micelle (LPM) oral drug delivery system is a platform technology.

Vaccines/BioDefense Overview

The Company's Vaccines/BioDefense business segment includes RiVax, the Company's ricin toxin vaccine, and SGX204, its anthrax v! accine, and SGX202, its gastrointestinal acute radiation syndrome (GI ARS) program. The Company�� Thermostability technology, ThermoVax, is a method of rendering aluminum salt, Alum, adjuvanted vaccines stable at elevated temperatures. SGX204 is the Company�� acquired vaccine based on a recombinant Protective Antigen (rPA) derivative. RiVax is the Company�� vaccine developed to protect against exposure to ricin toxin. SGX202 is an oral immediate and delayed release formulation of the corticosteroid beclomethasone dipropionate (BDP) is being developed for the treatment of GI ARS.

The Company competes with Genzyme, Abgenix, and PDL BioPharma, Inc., Kiadis Pharma, Chiesi Pharmaceuticals, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and PATH, Kansas University Macromolecular and Vaccine Stabilization Center, Variation Biotechnologies, Inc, Emergent BioSolutions, Inc, Pharmathene, Dynavax, Panacea Biotech, Paxvax, Elusys Therapeutics, Pfenex, Compass Biotech, Endo Pharmaceuticals, Human Genome Sciences, Elusys Therapeutics, Medarex, Bavarian Nordic, the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Biolabs, Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Boulder Biotechnology, RxBio, Inc., Exponential Biotherapies Inc., Osiris Therapeutics, Inc., ImmuneRegen BioSciences, Inc., Neumedicines, Inc., Cellerant Therapeutics, Onconova Therapeutics, Inc., Araim Pharmaceuticals, Inc., EVA Pharmaceuticals, Terapio, Cangene Corporation, Humanetics Corporation, the University of Arkansas Medical Sciences Center, Novartis, Medimmune, and Ariad.

Top 5 Heal Care Stocks To Own Right Now: RXi Pharmaceuticals Corp (RXII)

RXi Pharmaceuticals Corporation (RXi), incorporated on September 8, 2011, is a development-stage company. The Company is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing and commercializing therapies addressing medical needs using RNA interference (RNAi)-targeted technologies. As of July 12, 2012, RXi was focusing on its internal therapeutic development efforts in fibrosis. RXI-109 is its RNAi product candidate, which is a dermal anti-scarring therapy that targets connective tissue growth factor (CTGF). The Company�� therapeutic platform consists of two main components: RNAi Compounds (rxRNA) and Advanced Delivery Technologies. RNAi compounds include rxRNAori, rxRNAsolo and sd-rxRNA, or self-delivering RNA. On April 26, 2012, it completed the spin-off transaction from Galena Biopharma, Inc. (Galena).

In January 2011, the Company announced research results in collaboration with Generex Biotechnology Corporation, and RXi�� wholly owned subsidiary Antigen Express, Inc., in developing vaccine formulations for immunotherapy. In January 2011, it announced initial results as part of its collaboration with miRagen Therapeutics, Inc. in creating microRNA mimics, or artificial copies of microRNAs, using the Company�� sd-rxRNA technology. In February 2011, it announced the initiation of RXi�� development program for RXI-109.

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Prima BioMed Ltd (PBMD)

Prima BioMed Ltd is a biotechnology company is engaged in the development and commercialization of medical therapies with a focus on oncology. Its product candidates in development include Cvac, an autologous dendritic cell vaccine for ovarian cancer, monoclonal antibodies for multiple tumour types, and an oral formulation for the human papilloma virus (HPV), vaccine. Its product candidate Cvac is a dendritic cell therapy, for which it is conducting a Phase IIb trial for the treatment of ovarian cancer. Cvac is designed to target the tumour antigen mucin-1, which is expressed at high levels on different tumour types. It also has two preclinical product development programs. In May 2011, Prima BioMed GmbH, a 100 % owned subsidiary of Prima BioMed Ltd, was incorporated in Germany. In May 2011, Prima BioMed Middle East FZLLC, a 100 % owned subsidiary of Prima BioMed Ltd, was incorporated in the United Arab Emirates. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Prima Biomed (NASDAQ: PBMD) shares dipped 38.59% to touch a new 52-week low of $1.44 after the company reported top-line analysis of CVac Phase 2 trial.

  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Prima Biomed (NASDAQ: PBMD) dropped 38.17% to $1.45 after the company reported top-line analysis of CVac Phase 2 trial.

    Tower Group International (NASDAQ: TWGP) plummeted 24.31% to $10.49. Tower Group announced its plans to release its Q2 results during the week of October 7, 2013. FBR Capital downgraded the stock from Outperform to Market Perform.

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Living Cell Technologies Ltd (LHI)

Living Cell Technologies Limited (LCT) develops cell therapies to treat diseases with unmet clinical needs. LCT is an Australasian biotechnology company that operates in the field of cell encapsulation and implantation for human therapeutics. The Company has taken two therapeutic candidates into clinical development: DIABECELL(r) for the treatment of type 1 diabetes and NTCELL(r), which is in Phase I clinical trials in New Zealand for the treatment of Parkinson's disease.

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Organovo Holdings Inc (ONVO)

Organovo Holdings, Inc. (Organovo), formerly Real Estate Restoration & Rental, Inc., incorporated in 2007, is a development-stage company. The Company has developed and is commercializing a platform technology for the generation of three-dimensional (3D) human tissues that can be employed in drug discovery and development, biological research, and as therapeutic implants for the treatment of damaged or degenerating tissues and organs. On December 28, 2011, Real Estate Restoration and Rental, Inc.�� (RERR) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger, pursuant to which RERR merged with its, wholly owned subsidiary, Organovo (Merger Sub). On February 8, 2012, the Company merged with and into Organovo Acquisition Corp. (Acquisition Corp.), a wholly owned subsidiary of Organovo, with the Company surviving the merger as a wholly owned subsidiary of Organovo Holdings (the Merger). As a result of the Merger, Organovo acquired the business of Organovo, Inc.

The Company has collaborative research agreements with Pfizer, Inc. (Pfizer) and United Therapeutic Corporation (Unither). As of March 31, 2012, it has five federal grants, including Small Business Innovation Research grants and developed the NovoGen MMX Bioprinter (its first-generation 3D bioprinter). The Company is engaged in the development of specific 3D human tissues to aid Pfizer in discovery of therapies in two areas of interest. In addition, in October 2011, it entered into a research agreement with Unither to establish and conduct a research program to discover treatments for pulmonary hypertension using its NovoGen MMX Bioprinter technology. Additionally, under the research agreement with Unither, the Company granted Unither an option to acquire from the Company a worldwide, royalty-bearing license in certain intellectual property created under the research agreement solely for use in the treatment or prevention of pulmonary hypertension and all other lung diseases.

The Company�� NovoGen MMX Bioprinter is an automate! d device that enables the fabrication of three-dimensional (3D) living tissues comprised of mammalian cells. A custom graphic user interface (GUI) facilitates the 3D design and execution of scripts that direct precision movement of the dispensing heads to deposit cellular building blocks (bio-ink) or supporting hydrogel. The Company is using a third party manufacturer, Invetech Pty., of Melbourne, Australia, to manufacture its NovoGen MMX Bioprinter. Its bioprinting technology and surrounding intellectual property and commercial rights serve as a platform for product generation across multiple markets that employ cell- and tissue-based products and services.

The Company competes with Organogenesis, Advanced BioHealing, Tengion, Genzyme, HumaCyte and Cytograft Tissue Engineering.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jake L'Ecuyer]

    Organovo Holdings (NYSE: ONVO) was also up, gaining 2.98 percent to $9.32. The rise in the shares may be attributed to Thursday's Computerworld Article on 3D printed liver coming in 2014.

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: StemCells Inc (STEM.W)

StemCells, Inc. (StemCells), incorporated in August 1988, is engaged in the research, development, and commercialization of stem cell therapeutics and related tools and technologies for academia and industry. The Company is focused on developing and commercializing stem and progenitor cells as the basis for therapeutics and therapies, and cells and related tools and technologies to enable stem cell-based research and drug discovery and development. The Company�� primary research and development efforts are focused on identifying and developing stem and progenitor cells as potential therapeutic agents. The Company has two therapeutic product development programs, including its CNS Program, which is developing applications for HuCNS-SC cells, its human neural stem cell product candidate, and its Liver Program, which is characterizing the Company�� human liver cells as a therapeutic product.

CNS Program

The Company in its CNS Program, is in clinical development with its HuCNS-SC cells for a range of disorders of the central nervous system. The CNS includes the brain, spinal cord and eye. In February 2012, the Company had completed a Phase I clinical trial in Pelizeaus-Merzbacher Disease (PMD), a fatal myelination disorder in the brain.

The Company�� CNS Program is focused on developing clinical applications, in which transplanting HuCNS-SC cells protect or restore organ function of the patient before such function is irreversibly damaged or lost due to disease progression. The Company�� initial target indications are PMD, and more generally, diseases in which deficient myelination plays a central role, such as cerebral palsy or multiple sclerosis; spinal cord injury, disorders in which retinal degeneration plays a central role, such as age-related macular degeneration or retinitis pigmentosa. The Company�� product candidate, HuCNS-SC cells, is a purified and expanded composition of normal hum an neural stem cells. Its HuCNS-SC cells can be directly tr! a! nsplanted.

Liver Program

Liver stem or progenitor cells offer an alternative treatment for liver diseases. A liver cellular therapy or cell-based therapeutic provide or support liver function in patients with liver disease. The Company held a portfolio of issued and allowed patents in the liver field, which cover the isolation and use of both hLEC cells and the isolated subset, as well as the composition of the cells themselves.

The Company�� range of cell culture products, which are sold under the SC Proven brand, includes iSTEM, GS1-R, GS2-M, RHB-A, RHB-Basal, NDiff N2, and NDiff N2B27. Its iSTEM is a serum-free, feeder-free medium that maintains mouse embryonic stem cells in their pluripotent ground state by using selective small molecule inhibitors to block the pathways, which induce differentiation. RHB-A is a defined, serum-free culture medium for the selective culture of human and mouse neural stem cells and their maintenanc e and expansion as adherent cell populations. RHB-Basal is a defined, serum-free basal medium. When supplemented with specific growth factors, this media is formulated for the propagation and differentiation of adherent neural stem cells. RHB-Basal can also be tailored to specific-cell type requirements by the addition of customer preferred supplements.

The Company�� NDiff N2 is a defined serum-free scell culture supplement for the derivation, maintenance, expansion and/or differentiation of human and mouse embryonic stem (ES) cells and tissue-derived neural stem cells supplement. Its NDiff N2-AF is a serum-free and animal component-free version of NDiff N2. Its NDiff N2B27 is a defined, serum-free medium for the differentiation of mouse embryonic stem cells to neural cell types. NDiff N27-AF is a serum-free and animal component-free version of NDiff N27. Its GS1-R is a serum-free media formulation shown to enable the derivation and long-term maintenance of tr ue, germline competent rat embryonic stem cells without! the ! ad! dition ! of cytokines or growth factors. Its GS2-M is a defined, serum- and feeder-free medium for the derivation and long-term maintenance of true, germline competent mouse iPS cells.

The Company also markets a number of antibody reagents for use in cell detection, isolation and characterization. These reagents are also under the SC Proven brand and it includes STEM24, STEM101, STEM121 and STEM123. Its STEM24 is a human antibody that recognizes human CD24, also known as heat stable antigen (HSA), a glycoprotein expressed on the surface of many human cell types, including immature human hematopoietic cells, peripheral blood lymphocytes, erythrocytes and many human carcinomas. Its CD24 is also a marker of human neural differentiation. Its STEM101 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes the Ku80 protein found in human nuclei. Its STEM121 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes a cytoplasmic protein of human cells. Its STEM123 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes human glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP).

The Company�� Other products marketed under SC Proven include total cell genomic DNA (gDNA), RNA and protein lysate reagents purified from homogenous stem cell populations for intra-comparative studies, such as Epigenetic fingerprinting, Southern, Western and Northern blots, PCR, RT-PCR and microarrays. This range of purified stem cell line lysates includes mouse embryonic stem (ES) cells propagated in SC Proven 2i inhibitor-based GS2-M media and mouse ES cell-derived and fetal tissue-derived neural stem (NS) cells propagated in SC Proven RHB-A media.

Hot Biotech Stocks To Watch For 2014: Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc (NAVB)

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (Navidea), formerly Neoprobe Corporation, incorporated in 1983, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of precision diagnostic agents. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� radiopharmaceutical development programs included Lymphoseek (Lymphoseek, Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection), a radiopharmaceutical agent for lymph node mapping; AZD4694, an imaging agent, and RIGScan, a tumor antigen-specific targeting agent. In January 2012, the Company executed an option agreement with Alseres Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Alseres) to license [123I]-E-IACFT Injection, also called Altropane, an Iodine-123 radiolabeled imaging agent, being developed as an aid in the diagnosis of Parkinson�� disease, movement disorders and dementia. In August 2011, the Company sold its gamma detection device line of business (the GDS Business) to Devicor Medical Products, Inc.

Lymphoseek

Navidea�� pipeline includes clinical-stage radiopharmaceutical agents used to identify the presence and status of disease. Lymphoseek (Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection) is a lymph node targeting agent intended for use in intraoperative lymphatic mapping (ILM) procedures and lymphoscintigraphy employed in the overall diagnostic assessment of certain solid tumor cancers. The lymph system is a component of the body�� immune system. The key components of the lymph system are lymph nodes-small anatomic structures that contain disease-fighting lymphocytes, filter lymph of bacteria and cancer cells, and signal infection in response to heightened levels of pathogens. In Navidea�� Phase III clinical studies of Lymphoseek, it detected over 99% of positive nodes identified by vital blue dye (VBD). As of December 31, 2011, Navidea, in co-operation with UC, San Diego affiliate (UCSD), completed or initiated five Phase I clinical trials, one multi-center Phase II trial and three multi-center Phase II trials inv! olving Lymphoseek. Two Phase III studies were completed in subjects with breast cancer and melanoma. During the year ended December 31, 2011, data from NEO3-09 were released, which indicated that all primary and secondary endpoints for the study were met. As of December 31, 2011, third Phase III clinical trial for Lymphoseek in subjects with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (NEO3-06) was in progress.

AZD4694

AZD4694 is a Fluorine-18 labeled precision radiopharmaceutical candidate for use in the imaging and evaluation of patients with signs or symptoms of cognitive impairment such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). It binds to beta-amyloid deposits in the brain that can then be imaged in positron emission tomography (PET) scans. Amyloid plaque pathology is a required feature of AD and the presence of amyloid pathology is a supportive feature for diagnosis of probable AD. Patients who are negative for amyloid pathology do not have AD. AZD4694 has been studied in several clinical trials. Clinical studies through Phase IIa have included more than 80 patients to date, both suspected AD patients and healthy volunteers. No significant adverse events have been observed. Results suggest that AZD4694 has the ability to image patients quickly and safely with high sensitivity.

RadioImmunoGuided Surgery

As of December 31, 2011, RIGScan had been studied in a number of clinical trials, including Phase III studies. Navidea has conducted two Phase III studies, NEO2-13 and NEO2-14, of RIGScan in patients with primary and metastatic colorectal cancer, respectively. Both studies were multi-institutional involving cancer treatment institutions in the United States, Israel, and the European Union.

The Company competes with Pharmalucence, Eli Lilly, Bayer Schering, General Electric and GE Healthcare.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Tuesday’s session are Toll Brothers Inc.(TOL) and Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc.(NAVB)

  • [By Sean Williams]

    Another prime example here would be Navidea Biopharmaceuticals' (NYSEMKT: NAVB  ) Lymphoseek which is an injectable agent used in external lymph-node imaging and intra-operative lymphatic mapping. In English this means it will dramatically improve the staging and treatment options for patients with breast cancer. Being that breast cancer was also listed as a commonly misdiagnosed cancer, this is a big step in the right direction for patient care.

  • [By Sean Williams]

    Diagnostics can also play an important role in early and late-stage breast cancer diagnoses. Navidea Biopharmaceuticals (NYSEMKT: NAVB  ) had Lymphoseek, its external lymph-node imaging and intra-operative lymphatic mapping diagnostic device, approved by the Food and Drug Administration earlier this year to help doctors stage cancer. Discovering whether breast cancer has invaded adjacent lymph nodes has never been easier or safer thanks to Lymphoseek, and it can dramatically aid physicians in determining the best course of action for breast cancer patients.

  • [By Keith Speights]

    3. Navidea Biopharmaceuticals (NYSEMKT: NAVB  )
    Some investors were likely befuddled by Navidea's stock action earlier this year. The company received FDA approval in March for Lymphoseek, its radiopharmaceutical agent used for imaging lymph nodes in patients with breast cancer or melanoma. That was great news, but shares dropped quickly and still haven't returned to previous levels.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

3 Top Defense Stocks For The 21st Century

"The 20th century was the era of manned aircraft; the 21st century is the era of unmanned aircraft." -- U.S. Coast Guard Capt. Christopher Martino.

     
   
  Flickr/Don DeBold  
  A Predator drone at the Smithsonian Institute.
 

Political opinions aside, there's no doubt drones are big business. You may embrace the new technology, or you may fear it is simply the next step toward an Orwellian "Big Brother" society.

But either way, one thing is certain: There is a lot of money to be made in this new technology and in national security as a whole.

After all, who makes for a better customer than the government? The government doesn't just collect money, it prints money.

Let's start with some numbers:

30,000: The number of drones estimated to be flying in U.S. airspace by 2020.

$4.5 million to $11 million: The average cost of an MQ-1 Predator drone.

65,000 to 70,000: The number of Air Force personnel currently employed to process drone data.

$82 billion: The estimated value of the drone industry by 2025.

In StreetAuthority's special new report, "The 11 Most Shocking Investment Predictions of 2014," you can learn about a promising small-cap stock in this sector that has been flying under the radar.

As tensions in the Middle East flare up yet again, it's a good time to look at opportunities in the aerospace and defense industries.  

As you probably know, the U.S. spends far more than any other country on national defense. In fact, in 2011, the U.S. spent more on its military than the next 13 nations combined. The U.S. defense budget has soared 154% from 2001, to $729 billion in 2012.

There are concerns within the industry that government sequestration and austerity measures will cut spending. But the fact remains that defense spending on a large scale will almost certainly continue for decades to come.

On average, the sector is not cheap at this time. Many companies are currently trading at high valuations. Remember that buying high adds risk to the trade. The chances that stock prices will fall rather than rise increases dramatically when share prices get into the "frothy" zone.

For example, the world's largest defense contractor, Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), is a great stock I would be happy to add to my portfolio. But not at 57 times book value, which is where the stock is trading.

Let's take a look at three stocks in the aerospace and defense sector that look more attractive at today's prices.

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD)
General Dynamics is currently trading around $86 per share, which is close to its 52-week high of $87.85. Yet earnings support this valuation, and the company's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is only 11, compared with an industry average of 18. The current price to book value is 2.5. The company also carries very little debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3.

General Dynamics generates huge revenue through its contracts with the U.S. government. Its marine systems division owns three of the six submarine shipyards in the U.S. Long-term contracts with the U.S. government are estimated to be worth $78 billion for attack submarines and $140 billion for ballistic missile submarines.

The company has also had a lot of success manufacturing private jets. It boasts a 30% market share for large business jets, and this market keeps growing. In 2009, General Dynamics sold 94 jets. Last year, it sold 121.

In this year's second quarter, the company repurchased 6.6 million shares, which yield a 2.5 % dividend.

 

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC)
Northrop Grumman is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 11 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.3, despite a 38% run-up in prices so far this year.

Best Growth Companies For 2014

The company generated $2.3 billion in free cash flow last year. While sales have not been as robust this year, the company's focus on especially profitable defense sectors should allow operating margins to remain around 12%.

Northrop specializes in the production of manned and unmanned aircraft, which includes radar, navigation, and targeting systems for the U.S. military's top fighter planes.

In 2012, 11% of Northrop's sales came from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). UAVs have applications that extend far beyond military use, such as land surveying and helping catch drug boats along the coastline.

Northrop sports a yield of 2.5% and has increased its dividend each year since 2008.

 

Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) 
Raytheon is currently trading at a slightly higher cost, with a P/E ratio of 12 and a P/B ratio of 3. With a yield of 2.7%, the company has an impressive history of raising dividends over the past five years. During the same period, it has reduced its outstanding share count by almost 100 million shares since 2008, to 329 million.

Raytheon's primary strength lies in its international sales. Customers include the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, Turkey, Oman, Kuwait and India. Overseas sales, which make up about a quarter of total revenue, should help the company lock in profits should domestic spending continue to decline.

The company's proven and successful Patriot missile defense system is a highly coveted asset around the world, and the company operates under a duopoly with Lockheed Martin in this system's production and implementation.

Raytheon CEO William Swanson has been with the company since 1972, and under his leadership management has been committed to returning 50% of free cash flow to investors over the long term.

Risks to Consider: The biggest headwind in this sector is the threat of reduced U.S. government defense spending. Expenditures can be delayed, reduced or cut during annual congressional budget allocations.

Action to Take --> Along with death and taxes, armed conflict has historically been a fact of life. Demand for defense products and services isn't going anywhere. Should short-term U.S. defense spending decline, it's only a matter of time before a foreign or domestic event causes Congress to increase spending again. 

For long-term investors interested in this sector, all three stocks deserve a closer look. I find Northrop particularly attractive based on its 11% share of the drone market, which is currently in the early stages of explosive growth. Under U.S. law, companies that manufacture drones are allowed to sell them to foreign allies, creating enormous opportunities to profit from this new technology.

P.S. -- The three stocks I mentioned above are suitable for conservative investors, but we're really excited about a small-cap play on the "age of the drone" that Andy Obermueller has identified in his special new report, "The 11 Most Shocking Investment Predictions of 2014." You can learn about this and the rest of his exciting investment predictions by clicking here.

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now

Since the start of the week, small cap nuclear fuel stock USEC Inc (NYSE: USU) more than doubled for investors, something that has not happened for investors in uranium stocks like Uranium Resources, Inc (NASDAQ: URRE), Denison Mines Corp (NYSEMKT: DNN), Ur-Energy Inc. (NYSEMKT: URG) and Uranerz Energy Corp (NYSEMKT: URZ). To recap: USEC Inc closed at the $6 level on Friday, but then it surged to the $15 level on Monday only to open at the $10 level on Tuesday when it ultimately closed at $12.46. So what in the world is going on with USEC Inc and is it time to revisit nuclear fuel and uranium stocks?

What is USEC Inc?

Small cap USEC Inc is a global energy company that is a leading supplier of enriched uranium fuel for commercial nuclear power plants. Specifically and through its subsidiary, the United States Enrichment Corporation, USEC Inc operates the only US-owned uranium enrichment facility in the United States - a gaseous diffusion plant located in Paducah, Kentucky. The production of enriched uranium would be a key step in producing nuclear fuel used by nuclear power plants worldwide to generate electricity. USEC is also working to deploy the American Centrifuge, a gas centrifuge uranium enrichment technology, in the American Centrifuge Plant in Piketon, Ohio.

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: OCZ Technology Group Inc(OCZ)

OCZ Technology Group, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes computer components for computing devices and systems worldwide. It primarily offers solid state drives, flash memory storage, memory modules, thermal management solutions, AC/DC switching power supply units, and computer gaming solutions. The company?s products are used in industrial equipment and computer systems; computer and computer gaming solutions; mission critical servers and high end workstations; personal computer (PC) upgrades to extend the useable life of existing PCs; high performance computing and scientific computing; video and music editing; home theatre PCs and digital home convergence products; and digital photography and digital image manipulation computers. OCZ Technology Group, Inc. offers its products to retailers, on-line retailers, original equipment manufacturers, systems integrators, and distributors. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in San Jose, Califo rnia.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Duprey]

    The not-so-great and wonderful OCZ
    There was no company-specific news that caused solid-state-drive maker OCZ Technology (NASDAQ: OCZ  ) to fall almost 8% Wednesday. But an article that appeared on Seeking Alpha �questioning whether the company had six months or less to live before it filed for bankruptcy seemed to coincide with its fall.

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Sky-mobi Limited(MOBI)

Sky-mobi Limited engages in the operation of a mobile application store in the People?s Republic of China. It works with handset companies to pre-install its Maopao mobile application store on handsets and with content developers to provide users with applications and content titles. The users of its Maopao store could browse, download, and purchase a range of applications and content, such as single-player games, mobile music, and books. The company?s Maopao store enables mobile applications and content to be downloaded and run on various mobile handsets with hardware and operating system configurations. It also operates a mobile social network community, the Maopao Community, where it offers localized mobile social games, as well as applications and content with social network functions to its registered members. The company owns proprietary mobile application technology in the cloud computing, the MRP format, and SDK development environment. As of March 31, 2011, it had entered into cooperation agreements with approximately 523 handset companies to pre-install Maopao. The company was formerly known as Profit Star Limited and changed its name to Sky-Mobi Limited in October 2010. Sky-mobi Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    Another stock that's starting to move within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Sky-mobi (MOBI), which, through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a mobile application platform embedded on mobile phones to provide mobile application store and services in the People�s Republic of China. This stock has been red hot so far in 2013, with shares up a whopping 88%.

    If you look at the chart for Sky-mobi, you'll notice that this stock recently formed a triple bottom chart pattern at $3.31, $3.28 and $3.40 a share. That bottoming pattern occurred over the last two months. Shares of MOBI have now started to uptrend and flirt with its 50-day moving average of $3.76 a share. That move is quickly pushing MOBI within range of triggering a big breakout trade.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in MOBI if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $3.71 to $3.83 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 145,934 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then MOBI will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $4.96 a share. Any high-volume move above that level will then give MOBI a chance to tag its next major overhead resistance levels at $5.55 to $6.13 a share.

    Traders can look to buy MOBI off any weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below some key near-term support levels at $3.40 to $3.28 a share. One can also buy MOBI off strength once it takes out that breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

Top 5 Insurance Companies To Own In Right Now: Voyager Oil & Gas Inc.(VOG)

Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc. engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States. It primarily focuses on oil shale resource prospects in Montana, North Dakota, Colorado, and Wyoming. As of May 17, 2011, the company controlled approximately 141,500 net acres in the five primary prospect areas comprising 28,000 net acres targeting the Bakken/Three Forks in North Dakota and Montana; 14,200 net acres targeting the Niobrara formation in Colorado and Wyoming; 800 net acres targeting a Red River prospect in Montana; 33,500 net acres in a joint venture targeting the Heath Shale formation in Musselshell, Petroleum, Garfield, and Fergus counties of Montana; and 65,000 net acres in a joint venture in the Tiger Ridge gas field in Blaine, Hill, and Chouteau counties of Montana. It supplies energy and fuel for industrial, commercial, and individual consumers. The company is based in Billings, Montana.

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: OmniVision Technologies Inc.(OVTI)

OmniVision Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, and markets semiconductor image-sensor devices. The company offers CameraChip image sensors, which are single-chip solutions that integrate various functions, such as image capture, image processing, color processing, signal conversion, and output of a processed image or video stream for use in various consumer and commercial mass-market applications; and CameraCube imaging devices that are image sensors with integrated wafer-level optics. It also provides companion chips used to connect its image sensors to various interfaces, including the universal serial bus and other industry standard interfaces; and companion digital signal processors that perform compression in standardized still photo and digital video formats. In addition, the company designs and develops software drivers for Linux, Mac OS, and Microsoft Windows, as well as for embedded operating systems, such as Blackberry OS, Palm OS, Symbian, Windows CE, Windows Embedded, and Windows Mobile. Its products are used in mobile phones, notebooks, Webcams, digital still and video cameras, commercial and security and surveillance, and automotive and medical applications, as well as in entertainment devices. The company sells its products directly to original equipment manufacturers and value added resellers, as well as indirectly through distributors worldwide. OmniVision Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1995 and is based in Santa Clara, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Bieglmeier]

    OmniVision Technologies, Inc. (OVTI) plans to release its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2014 on Tuesday, December 03, 2013, shortly after the market closes.� The Company plans to host a conference call to review the results and management's outlook for future periods at 5 p.m. (ET) that day.

  • [By Alex Planes]

    Investors love stocks that consistently beat the Street without getting ahead of their fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with robust and improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Does OmniVision Technologies (NASDAQ: OVTI  ) fit the bill? Let's take a look at what its recent results tell us about its potential for future gains.

  • [By Evan Niu, CFA]

    Once upon a time, I was also an OmniVision (NASDAQ: OVTI  ) bull, thinking the image sensor specialist's lead in backside-illuminated technology gave it a substantial leg up against the competition. When OmniVision lost the iPhone 4S primary camera spot to Sony,�that was just the first sign that things may never be the same. The company subsequently lost the iPhone 5 primary sensor, also to Sony. HTC has gone with STMicroelectronics�for the "UltraPixel" sensor in its One flagship (OmniVision sources the secondary sensor), which lends to the idea that BSI sensors are becoming commoditized. Goodbye, pricing power. I gave up on OmniVision long ago.

  • [By Laura Brodbeck]

    Tuesday

    Earnings Expected From: Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), United Natural Foods, Inc. (NASDAQ: UNFI), OmniVision Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: OVTI), Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (NYSE: UTI) Economic Releases Expected: Chinese HSBC Services PMI, Australian GDP, Brazilian GDP, eurozone PPI, British construction PMI.

    Wednesday

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Petroquest Energy Inc(PQ)

PetroQuest Energy, Inc. operates as an independent oil and gas company. It engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Texas, as well as onshore and in the shallow waters offshore the Gulf Coast Basin. As of December 31, 2009, the company had estimated proved reserves of 1,931 thousand barrels of oil and 167,361 million cubic feet equivalent of natural gas. It owned working interests in 9 net producing oil wells and 277 net producing gas wells. PetroQuest Energy was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Louisiana.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    PetroQuest Energy Inc. (NYSE: PQ) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at J.P. Morgan.

    Rubicon Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: RBCN) was downgraded to Underperform from Perform at Oppenheimer.

Best Small Cap Stocks To Invest In Right Now: bebe stores inc.(BEBE)

bebe stores, inc. engages in the design, development, and production of women?s apparel and accessories. Its products include a range of separates, tops, dresses, active wear, and accessories in career, evening, casual, and active lifestyle categories. The company markets its products under the bebe, BEBE SPORT, bbsp, and 2b bebe brand names targeting 21 to 34-year-old woman. As of July 2, 2011, it operated 252 retail stores, and an online store at bebe.com in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Japan, and Canada, as well as 60 international licensee operated stores in south east Asia, the United Arab Emirates, Israel, Russia, Mexico, and Turkey. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Duprey]

    Women's fashion leader bebe (NASDAQ: BEBE  ) has a new face on its board of directors. The specialty retailer announced Monday it has named Narry Singh to join the board, noting his contributions in the world of digital entertainment.

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Is Lockheed Martin Headed for Blue Skies in 2013?

Top 10 High Tech Companies To Own For 2014

The federal budget sequester went into effect March 1, but given the strong performance defense giant Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) has experienced over the past five months, you wouldn't know it. However, the company has compressed its 2013 outlook to reflect impending spending reductions spurned by sequestration. Will Lockheed Martin be able to keep its momentum despite reduced government funding? Let's use our CHEAT SHEET investing framework to decide whether Lockheed Martin is an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY.

C = Catalysts for the Stock's Movement

Because around 82 percent of Lockheed Martin's sales are to the U.S. government, the company is highly dependent on the domestic defense budget. Sequestration measures enacted earlier this year require the government to reduce defense spending by $500 billion over the next 10 years. The Department of Defense projects automatic cuts will reduce its budget by around $37 billion this year and $52 billion in 2014. Lockheed Martin announced along with its 2013 earnings report that these budget cuts could reduce its sales by $825 million this year.

Luckily for Lockheed Martin, its industry-leading F-16, F-22, and F-35 fighter jet models may be in the clear — at least for now — as the Pentagon decides how to reduce its budget. Lockheed Martin continues to receive funding from the Department of Defense, including an additional $8.4 billion in funding this year to develop its turbulent F-35 joint strike fighter, a program that is seven years behind schedule. As a result of the domestic spending cuts, CEO Marillyn Hewson indicated that the company might begin concentrating its efforts on its overseas business, which currently makes up around 17 percent of its revenues. Recently, Lockheed Martin announced large contracts to bring its F-35 stealth fighter to both Japan and Israel.

E = Earnings are Increasing Year-Over-Year 

The automatic spending cuts, which began March 1, did not seem to impact Lockheed Martin's first quarter. In fact, the company posted strong earnings per share of $2.33 — a 14.78 percent increase from the previous year's quarter. Lockheed Martin has increased earnings in four of the last five quarters, but with revenue growth decreasing in the last three quarters, the company has increased profitability by reducing expenses. These cost-cutting initiatives come mainly in the form of job cuts, but as revenues continue to fall with sequestration measures, Lockheed Martin may not be able to keep reducing its costs. Lockheed Martin announces its second quarter earnings Tuesday.

2013 Q1 2012 Q4 2012 Q3 2012 Q2 2012 Q1
Qtrly. EPS $2.33 $1.74 $2.21 $2.38 $2.03
EPS Growth YoY 14.78% -16.97% 5.24% 11.22% 35.33%
Revenue Growth YoY -1.97% -0.92% -2.06% 3.27% 6.28%
E = Exceptional Performance Relative to Peers?

The entire defense industry is in a tough spot with looming sequestration of the Pentagon’s budget. Let's see how Lockheed Martin, the biggest government contractor by contracts, stacks up against the other major players: Boeing (NYSE:BA), Northrup Grumman (NYSE:NOC), and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN). All of the companies are trading at a relatively low price-to-equity ratio besides Boeing, mainly because Boeing also has exposure to the commercial aviation industry. Lockheed Martin has a significantly higher return on equity than its peers. Part of this higher ROE has to do with its substantial leverage. However, with a high credit rating and a strong interest coverage ratio, the company's high debt level should not worry investors for now. Lockheed Martin has a very attractive dividend yield of 4.1 percent and has increased its dividend by at least 10 percent in each of the last 10 years.

LMT BA NOC RTN
Trailing P/E 13.01 19.69 11.08 12.20
Operating Margin 9.15% 17.37% 12.31% 12.22%
ROE 302.40% 64.43% 19.60% 22.91%
Dividend Yield 4.10% 1.90% 2.80% 3.2%
T = Technicals on the Stock Chart are Strong

Lockheed Martin is currently trading at around $112.80, well above both its 200-day moving average of $97.53 and its 50-day moving average of $107.44. The stock has been on a tear since the beginning of March — it’s up around 30 percent since March 4. Additionally, Lockheed Martin experienced a “golden cross” — when the 50-day moving average crosses over the 200-day moving average — right around its first-quarter earnings announcement. A golden cross usually indicates strong investor sentiment.

Conclusion

Lockheed Martin has a lot to prove in its second-quarter earnings announcement, which is less than a week away. As the sequester continues to decrease profit margins and revenues on native soil, the defense giant must look elsewhere in order to grow its revenues. Additionally, in order to continue generating earnings growth, Lockheed Martin must keep reducing its costs. The stock currently trades at a relatively low price-to-earnings multiple of 13.01 and has an attractive dividend yield. The automatic spending cuts have not significantly affected Lockheed Martin, but the company could see some reduction in earnings growth and changing investor sentiment over the coming quarters. For now, Lockheed Martin is a WAIT AND SEE.

Monday, December 23, 2013

Covanta Holding Beats on Both Top and Bottom Lines

Covanta Holding (NYSE: CVA  ) reported earnings on July 17. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Covanta Holding beat expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue grew slightly. Non-GAAP earnings per share contracted significantly. GAAP earnings per share shrank to a loss.

Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
Covanta Holding booked revenue of $413.0 million. The nine analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated a top line of $402.6 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were the same as the prior-year quarter's.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.10. The eight earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ averaged $0.05 per share. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.10 for Q2 were 33% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.15 per share. (The prior-year quarter included -$0.01 per share in earnings from discontinued operations.) GAAP EPS were -$0.30 for Q2 against $0.14 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 39.0%, 170 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 14.0%, 10 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was -9.2%, much worse than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $422.6 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.29.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $1.63 billion. The average EPS estimate is $0.42.

Investor sentiment

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Covanta Holding is outperform, with an average price target of $21.73.

Can your portfolio provide you with enough income to last through retirement? You'll need more than Covanta Holding. Learn how to maximize your investment income and "Secure Your Future With 9 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks." Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Covanta Holding to My Watchlist.

Sunday, December 22, 2013

A Fool Looks Back

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX  ) had a good week. It started when the company teamed up with DreamWorks Animation (NASDAQ: DWA  ) to expand their relationship, and it culminated in an announcement that the Netherlands will be its next expansion market for the leading video service.

The deal with DreamWorks Animation comes at an important time. Many young families are still venting about the Nickelodeon and Nick Jr. content that was removed from Netflix's streaming platform late last month. Offering 300 hours of original programming from DreamWorks Animation -- primarily in the form of new shows that the computer-animation studio will create based on its growing arsenal of characters -- will give young viewers more reasons to keep checking out Netflix by next year.

This is also an important evolutionary step at Netflix. Subscribers need to understand that, unlike optical discs, streaming licenses don't last forever. Content goes both ways, and Netflix has more often than not found a way to make it up to subscribers when popular shows leave its digital vault.

The other big move by Netflix was to announce that it will go Dutch later this year. Pushing into the Netherlands makes sense. Netflix now has more than 6 million subscribers for its streaming service outside the United States.

Yes, Netflix is still losing a lot money overseas, but its international operating loss narrowed in its latest quarter to the lowest that it's been in more than a year.

Keep those passport stamps coming, Netflix.

Briefly in the news
And now let's take a quick look at some of the other stories that shaped our week.

Nokia (NYSE: NOK  ) was the subject of not one, but two rumored buyout reports. Things have been rough for the handset giant in recent years, but sometimes a stock gets too cheap to ignore. Idenix Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: IDIX  ) shed 31% of its value on Friday, after the FDA requested more information on the biotech's preclinical hepatitis-C drug candidate. Indenix will need to address those concerns before moving on to the critical human trials. The payoffs are huge when a young biotech can get a treatment on the market, but the approval process isn't for the faint of heart. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) backtracked on some of the controversial Xbox One features that were introduced a week earlier. It will no longer require users to go online every 24 hours, and gamers will be able to keep selling or lending their disc-based games.

Top Tech Companies To Watch In Right Now

Now look ahead
The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for this year. Find out which stock it is in the special free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

Saturday, December 21, 2013

5 of Last Week's Biggest Losers

There's never a shortage of losers in the stock market. Let's take a closer look at five of this past week's biggest sinkers.

Company

May 10

Weekly Loss

Ruckus Wireless (NYSE: RKUS  )

$13.34

26%

Fusion-io (NYSE: FIO  )

$15.05

Best Medical Stocks To Buy Right Now

18%

Rackspace (NYSE: RAX  )

$40.43

18%

Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN  )

$3.98

15%

Universal Display (NASDAQ: OLED  )

$27.50

14%

Source: Barron's.

Let's start with Ruckus Wireless. A little more than a month ago, there was a mind-boggling streak of a dozen consecutive negative trading days for the supplier of wireless systems for the mobile Internet infrastructure market, but now we see that those marching to the exits knew what they were doing. Ruckus tumbled after posting quarterly results that fell short of expectations, blaming weak Chinese demand and delays from stateside wireless carriers. Its guidance for the current quarter is also below where the pros were perched.

Fusion-io shares were defused after CEO David Flynn and CMO Rick White -- co-founders of the data storage solutions provider -- left the company. Fusion-io named a seasoned tech veteran who's a board member as its new CEO, but the market wasn't impressed.

Rackspace gave investors a 404 error -- fundamentals not found -- after the Web-hosting giant posted poorly received financials. Several analysts downgraded the stock on the soft quarter and the uninspiring glimpse of its current quarter.

All of Dendreon's 15% plunge took place on Thursday, as the market reacted to a disappointing quarterly report. There was a surprisingly steep sequential drop in sales for Provenge, the biotech's flagship prostate cancer treatment. Slowing sales of its marquee drug led a couple of analysts to lower their ratings.

Finally, we have Universal Display dimming after posting a problematic contraction in margins. The patent-rich champion of OLED technology saw a larger portion of its revenue coming from host materials that carry low margins.

Ready for a bounce
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Friday, December 20, 2013

Disney's Evil Plan to Make Even More Money

disney's evil plan to make even more moneyPatrick Fallon/Bloomberg via Getty Images Even villains deserve a second chance at Disney (DIS), and soon their offspring will get a shot to woo viewers. Disney has announced that production will begin in a few months on "Descendants," a Disney Channel original movie that will premiere in 2015. The story takes place in Disney's universe where the son of Belle and Beast proclaims that the children of iconic baddies Cruella De Vil, Maleficent, the Evil Queen and Jafar -- who have been imprisoned on a forbidden island -- will get to go to prep school with the children of Disney heroes. Naturally they will need to decide if they want to follow in the footsteps of their parents or if they want to aim for redemption. I'm Not Bad, I'm Just Drawn That Way It's a clever premise, and despite the animated nature of all of these movies, this Disney Channel original will feature live actors. And, despite the serious moral undertones, it will also be largely a comedy. Disney's push for original teen-oriented movies that it can continue to rebroadcast has served it well in the past. The success of"High School Musical" spawned a pair of sequels. This summer's "Teen Beach Movie" was magnetic enough to attract 13.5 million Disney Channel viewers during its first week. That was enough, according to Variety, to make it the most-watched cable TV movie since "High School Musical 2" that came out five years ago. As fate would have it, Disney's turning to the director of the "High School Musical" trilogy to work on this one. That may not sit well with older Disney buffs hoping for a less cheesy production, but there's no point in arguing with the success that Disney Channel has had with this type of movie. Cut to the Opportunities Critics will argue that these Disney Channel movies are too formulaic. "High School Musical," "Camp Rock," and "Teen Beach Movie" take attractive casts of fresh faces, inject infectious pop songs, and phone it in with predictable scripts. There's little reason to expect "Descendants" to be any different, but the real secret sauce here will be viewer familiarity with the characters. They will know the parent characters, increasing awareness of the film's stars before they start watching. This should help establish a larger built-in audience than Disney Channel's earlier releases. This could naturally open up new merchandising and theme park opportunities given the new characters that will be introduced. It may be trickier to work Disney's well-oiled machine for non-animated characters, but think about what the media giant is doing here: Disney is promoting the arrival of at least a dozen new characters in this movie. No one is better at milking value out of a character portfolio than Disney. It spent billions to acquire Pixar, Marvel, and more recently Lucasfilm. The appeal in each of those deals was access to beloved character franchises. Now it gets a shot at dreaming up characters from scratch. Theme parks shows geared around "Descendants" will be no-brainers, but we can't dismiss the potential of more elaborate attractions and patron interactions. This is what Disney does for a living. It knows how to turn modest properties into powerhouses. "Descendants" seems to have all of the right ingredients to succeed. Something good can come out of villains after all. If you thought this classic horror movie was about a haunted house, see if this scenario sounds familiar: An idealistic young couple buys a home that sounds too good to be true. Once they're mortgaged to the hilt, problems start to crop up. They can't leave, they can't stay, and an unseen evil force starts to tear their family apart.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

10 Best Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now

Precious metals have always been a solid investment choice, especially in times of economic uncertainty. They also offer superior protection against inflation, which cannot be said of almost all other reasonably liquid assets. Consequently, they outperform other sectors during a market downturn, as they have demonstrated in the recent past. Since they hold well diversified portfolios and are professionally managed, precious metals funds offer the most stable option for investments in this sector.

Below we will share with you 5 top rated precious metals mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) as we expect the fund to outperform its peers in the future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all precious metals funds, investors can click here to see the complete list of funds.

Gabelli Gold AAA (GOLDX) seeks capital growth on a long-term basis. A majority of assets are invested in equity of those domestic and foreign companies whose primary operations are related to gold and gold bullion. The fund focusses on investing in undervalued companies which have the potential to provide high returns. The precious metals fund has a ten year annualized return of 8.43%.

10 Best Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Dollar Tree Inc.(DLTR)

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in the United States and Canada. Its stores offer merchandise primarily at the fixed price of $1.00. The company operates its stores under the names of Dollar Tree, Deal$, Dollar Tree Deal$, Dollar Giant, and Dollar Bills. Its stores offer consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and beauty care, as well as household consumables, such as paper, plastics, household chemicals, in select stores, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise, which includes toys, durable housewares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, and other items; and seasonal goods, such as Easter, Halloween, and Christmas merchandise. As of April 30, 2011, it operated 4,089 stores in 48 states and the District of Columbia, as well as 88 stores in Canada. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ben Eisen]

    Perpetually struggling department store J.C. Penney Co. (JCP) �said it expects a sales boost this holiday season as it returns to a promotional strategy. But for the most part, retailers including Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) �, GameStop Corp. (GME) � and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) � gave dour outlooks in their earnings reports.

10 Best Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Schlumberger N.V.(SLB)

Schlumberger Limited, together with its subsidiaries, supplies technology, integrated project management, and information solutions to the oil and gas exploration and production industries worldwide. The company?s Oilfield Services segment provides exploration and production services; wireline technology that offers open-hole and cased-hole services; supplies engineering support, directional-drilling, measurement-while-drilling, and logging-while-drilling services; and testing services. This segment also offers well services; supplies well completion services and equipment; artificial lift; data and consulting services; geo services; and information solutions, such as consulting, software, information management system, and IT infrastructure services that support oil and gas industry. Its WesternGeco segment provides reservoir imaging, monitoring, and development services; and operates data processing centers and multiclient seismic library. This segment also offers variou s services include 3D and time-lapse (4D) seismic surveys to multi-component surveys for delineating prospects and reservoir management. The company?s M-I SWACO segment supplies drilling fluid systems to improve drilling performance; fluid systems and specialty tools to optimize wellbore productivity; production technology solutions to maximize production rates; and environmental solutions that manages waste volumes generated in drilling and production operations. Its Smith Oilfield segment designs, manufactures, and markets drill bits and borehole enlargement tools; and supplies drilling tools and services, tubular, completion services, and other related downhole solutions. The company?s Distribution segment markets pipes, valves, and fittings, as well as mill, safety, and other maintenance products. This segment also provides warehouse management, vendor integration, and inventory management services. Schlumberger Limited was founded in 1927 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Isac Simon]

    Is the stock looking cheap?
    To me, Halliburton currently looks cheaper that its bigger cousin Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB  ) . While Halliburton is trading at 21 times its earnings, and Schlumberger's trading at only 18 times earnings, the reason I'm not too interested in the P/E multiple is that Halliburton's bottom line doesn't reveal its actual profits. Since April 2010, the company has been making provisions for its part in the Macondo oil spill disaster. This has distorted Halliburton's actual earnings considerably.

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB  ) will release its quarterly report on Friday, capping an up-and-down quarter for the stock. With U.S. natural gas prices having risen somewhat from their lows last year and with oil prices remaining above $100 per barrel, Schlumberger earnings have the fundamental support in place to drive higher.

  • [By Teresa Rivas]

    As for companies with the most upside, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) tops the list, with 63.6%, followed by Autodesk (ADSK), Ventas (VTR), salesforce.com (CRM) and American Tower (AMT). Outside the top five, the list also includes big names like Schlumberger (SLB), Halliburton (HAL), Expedia (EXPE) and General Motors (GM).

  • [By Arjun Sreekumar]

    Opportunities for oilfield services firms
    Not surprisingly, Halliburton and other major energy companies view Chinese shale gas development as a significant opportunity for future growth. Many of them, including Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI  ) , ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP  ) , and Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB  ) , have already developed strategic relationships with Chinese firms to better evaluate the nation's shale gas potential.

Best Stocks To Invest In 2014: Tupperware Corporation(TUP)

Tupperware Brands Corporation operates as a direct seller of various products across a range of brands and categories through an independent sales force. The company engages in the manufacture and sale of kitchen and home products, and beauty and personal care products. It offers preparation, storage, and serving solutions for the kitchen and home, as well as kitchen cookware and tools, children?s educational toys, microwave products, and gifts under the Tupperware brand name primarily in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and North America. The company provides beauty and personal care products, which include skin care products, cosmetics, bath and body care, toiletries, fragrances, nutritional products, apparel, and related products principally in Mexico, South Africa, the Philippines, Australia, and Uruguay. It offers beauty and personal care products under the Armand Dupree, Avroy Shlain, BeautiControl, Fuller, NaturCare, Nutrimetics, Nuvo, and Swissgar de brand names. The company sells its Tupperware products directly to distributors, directors, managers, and dealers; and beauty products primarily through consultants and directors. As of December 26, 2009, the Tupperware distribution system had approximately 1,800 distributors, 61,300 managers, and 1.3 million dealers; and the sales force representing the Beauty businesses approximately 1.1 million. The company was formerly known as Tupperware Corporation and changed its name to Tupperware Brands Corporation in December 2005. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Tupperware Brands (NYSE: TUP) is expected to report its Q3 earnings at $1.03 per share on revenue of $623.34 million.

    Varian Medical Systems (NYSE: VAR) is projected to post its Q4 earnings at $1.12 per share on revenue of $779.02 million.

10 Best Undervalued Stocks To Buy Right Now: Caterpillar Inc.(CAT)

Caterpillar Inc. manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives worldwide. It operates through three lines of businesses: Machinery, Engines, and Financial Products. The Machinery business offers construction, mining, and forestry machinery, including track and wheel tractors, track and wheel loaders, pipelayers, motor graders, wheel tractor-scrapers, track and wheel excavators, backhoe loaders, log skidders, log loaders, off-highway trucks, articulated trucks, paving products, skid steer loaders, underground mining equipment, tunnel boring equipment, and related parts. It also manufactures diesel-electric locomotives; and manufactures and services rail-related products and logistics services for other companies. The Engines business provides diesel, heavy fuel, and natural gas reciprocating engines for Caterpillar machinery, electric power generation systems, marine, petrol eum, construction, industrial, agricultural, and other applications. It offers industrial turbines and turbine-related services for oil and gas, and power generation applications. This business also remanufactures Caterpillar engines, machines, and engine components; and offers remanufacturing services for other companies. The Financial Products business provides retail and wholesale financing alternatives for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, and other equipment and marine vessels, as well as offers loans and various forms of insurance to customers and dealers. It also offers financing for vehicles, power generation facilities, and marine vessels. The company markets its products directly, as well as through its distribution centers, dealers, and distributors. It was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. and changed its name to Caterpillar Inc. in 1986. Caterpillar Inc. was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By John Maxfield]

    Given the news out of China, it should be no surprise that the Dow's worst-performing stock this afternoon is Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) . The heavy-machinery company looks to China for a considerable portion of sales and depends on global growth more generally to fuel demand for its products. In addition, as my colleague Dan Caplinger noted earlier today, the fall in gold prices could also have a negative impact on mining activity, an important source of demand for Caterpillar equipment.

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Finally, Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) rounded out the list of declining Dow stocks, falling 0.6%. The dollar's persistent strength spells trouble for the company's international sales, as the currency's strength make Caterpillar's exports more costly in local currency terms. With competitors from Japan and elsewhere gaining a competitive advantage, Caterpillar will have to work that much harder in an already-challenging environment of slowing economic growth and weak commodity prices.

  • [By Matt Thalman]

    Before we hit the Dow losers, let's look at this week's best-performing component. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) , with a gain of 0.77%, was the only Dow stock that rose this past week. As gold, silver, and platinum rise, the value of the mining equipment Caterpillar makes also rises, and if prices can sustain their current levels, we're likely to see increased orders for its machinery as more people try to dig gold out of the ground. �

  • [By Laura Brodbeck]

    Earnings reports expected on Wednesday include:

    Caterpillar, Inc. (NYSE: CAT) is expected to report third quarter EPS of $1.70 on revenue of $14.40 billion, compared to last year�� EPS 0f $2.54 on revenue of $16.44 billion. Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) is expected to report EPS of $1.54 on revenue of $21.65 billion, compared to last year�� EPS 0f $1.35 on revenue of $20.01 billion. Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE: BMY) is expected to report third quarter EPS of $0.44 on revenue of $4.02 billion, compared to last year�� EPS 0f $0.41 on revenue of $3.74 billion. Motorola, Inc (NYSE: MSI) is expected to report third quarter EPS of $1.02 on revenue of $2.13 billion, compared to last year�� EPS 0f $0.84 on revenue of $2.15 billion. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is expected to report third quarter EPS of $0.52 on revenue of $469.16 million, compared to last year�� EPS of $0.49 on revenue of $453.82 million.

    Economics

Monday, December 16, 2013

Manic Monday – Bouncy Pre-Fed Edition

Pay no attention to the Head and Shoulders pattern behind the curtain!  

The great and powerful Bernanke will fix everything by handing out bits of paper to make everyone feel better about themselves (economically speaking) on Wednesday and then we will all fly away on our beautiful stock bubble balloons.  There's no nation more like Rome, there's no nation more like Rome…

Someone must have dropped a house on the Dollar as it got squashed back to 80.10, down half a point since Friday and, surprise, surprise, surprise – now the Futures are up half a point.  Could there be some mysterious connection between the value of the Dollar and the price of stocks in Dollars?  Certainly not that anyone on TV can figure out…

We are in CASH (see detailed comments on our October Trade Review), so we don't actually care but, like any old man – I do like to sit on the porch and complain – so let me vent a bit:

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet will hit $4,000,000,000,000.00 this week.  That's more than our ENTIRE National Debt 20 years ago (1993) when Clinton came into office and took it DOWN from there.  Now, the Fed alone has racked up more debt in 5 years than the entire United States needed in the first 217 years.

I know we are simply stunned into a stupor by these gigantic numbers but, bear in mind, there are only 140M of us who work and 40M of those people with jobs are earning minimum wage and half of those are part-time to boot.  Those guys are not, ultimately, going to be on the hook for this money – you are!   $4,000,000,000,000/100,000,000 is $40,000 for each one of us – and that's JUST what the Fed has borrowed on our behalf to funnel back to the banks (who run the Fed).  

And, by the way, when I say "borrowed", I don't mean like they are going to pay it back one day.  No, not at all, the Fed creates money (and a debt on their books) and GIVES the banks money in the form of cash for clunker exchanges on bad debt or…
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Posted-In: Futures Forex Pre-Market Outlook Markets

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